Tuesday, October 27, 2009

When it rains, it pours...

We've had some more much-needed rain here in Central Texas. And while it's helping to ease some of the drought, it's really just the proverbial drop in the bucket so far.

Lake Travis, just outside of Austin in the Hill Country, was down 36 feet -- yes, FEET, at the height of the drought this summer. The recent rains in September and October have caused the lake to rise a little more than 13 feet. Which means that it's still 23 feet below its historic October average of 666.61 ft msl.
Forecasters are predicting a strong El Nino weather pattern for this fall and winter.That means Central Texas can expect a wetter and colder than average fall and winter.

El Nino occurs when the Eastern Pacific Ocean water warms up. During an El Nino, the jet stream pushes more storm systems through the Southern United States. El Nino events occur on average every three to five years.

“We’ve gone back and looked at 17 cases of past El Nino events, and we’ve seen in general about a 30 percent increase in precipitation during the wintertime months,” said Paul Yura, the warning coordination meteorologist for the National Weather Service office in New Braunfels.

However, a moderate El Nino event may not erase the drought. Experts say that even with normal to increased rainfall, the large hydrologic and soil moisture deficits may mean we will be vulnerable again next summer.

Sigh...

Glad I have two pairs of wellies.

And I'm going to subscribe to the theory that every little bit helps. For now, everything is green and revitalized here in the garden. And that's good.

I'll worry about tomorrow...tomorrow.

13 comments:

flowergardengirl said...

And for us it means a lot of snow here in part of NC. I wrote about the woolly worms early last week and their weather predictions.

Thank you for putting the Operation Christmas Child banner on your sidebar ;)

Lisa at Greenbow said...

I like the new look of your blog Diana. The header photo says a lot and is very pretty.

I hope your garden appreciates all the rain. Keep those wellies by the back door.

Janet said...

Rainy winters with dogs is not my cup of tea....THEY need the wellies! Glad you all are getting some rain. Plants stressed from this drought will continue to show decline for a few years to come...if you get the additional rain this winter. If you don't the plants in the landscape will show decline faster.
Love your new look.

Diana said...

flowergardengirl -- ewww, snow. I like to see snow, but living in it is just work. Spent 4+ yrs in Minn. Brrr. Amazing how many things predict weather, huh?

Lisa == Thanks. It's not a perfect fit, but I kinda like it. Walking through the yard today my feet went squish, squish!

Janet -- Yep - two beach towels by the back door - one for paws and one for bodies. Luckily my "kids" are agreeable about it, but it's still a pain.

Lancashire rose said...

You changed your blog again. Do you do all the work yourself? I have never managed to get a photo onto my header, Don't know what I do wrong.If we are going to get a lot of rain followed by cold our cactus and agaves are going to suffer. They need to dry out before the first frost or they will really suffer.On top of our hot summer where everything suffered we don't want a cold wet winter,

Diana said...

Lancashire Rose -- You're right. My clay soil is just totally saturated and some agaves are rotting a little already. Sigh. As my Daddy used to say, "can't win for losing!"

Bob said...

I'm building on my rain water collection system as fast as I can, trying to keep up with the showers. I already have 13,000 gallons. Who can believe after this past summer we would have such a wet fall. My pear tree bloomed and put on pears, what the heck.

Gail said...

Diana, I am glad your garden has been revitalized...I read janet's comment and have to share that we are still losing trees to the 2007 drought. Some damage can't be undone...sighing with you. I did read on a website that this part of the country (Middle South) might get 10 inches of snow. We'll wait and see! I do like your new look and header photo! gail

Diana said...

Bob -- That's a lot of rain water capacity. I'm impressed. And not surprised about your pear tree -- everything is topsy turvy this year. I think that's tomorrow's post!

Gail -- Well, the rain we've had certainly won't undo the drought. We need a lot more to do that. But we can hope that fall brings us some. Not so sure I'd wish 10 inches of snow on you, though!

ConsciousGardener said...

I've got some snazzy new "Sloggers" for El Nino...bring it!

Diana said...

Conscious Gardener -- I keep waiting for the rain today...hot and 81 now. Crazy. Hope your "sloggers" like it!

Linda/Central Texas Gardener said...

I'm so loving this rain but yes, it doesn't make it great in heavy soil, especially for those fans of dry, well-drained soil. Still, no complaints here! Texas certainly does keep things interesting, that's for sure. Today fun: sweat one minute, sweaters the next.

Diana said...

Hey Linda -- Enjoyed your post today about MSS - you certainly captured her and her garden. Can't wait to see the show. Crazy weather today - I changed clothes 3 times! Sadly I didn't get to garden in the warm sun today, though.